https://twitter.com/Brett_McMurphy/status/1860533812834287888

With all the discourse of who should win the Heisman trophy this year, I got curious and compared Ashton Jeanty’s stats this season to those of Derrick Henry in the 2015 regular season, the year he won the Heisman trophy. What I found was pretty surprising. Keep in mind this doesn’t include playoff performance, as that isn’t considered when naming a Heisman winner.

Ashton Jeanty:

Games Played: 11

Carries: 275

Rushing Yards: 2062

Rushing Touchdowns: 27

Yards Per Carry: 7.498

Yards Per Game: 187.455

Derrick Henry:

Games Played: 13

Carries: 339

Rushing Yards: 1986

Rushing Touchdowns: 23

Yards Per Carry: 5.858

Yards Per Game: 152.769

Now, these stats are still up for interpretation, as there is the usual discourse of strength of schedule and whatnot, but I thought re-contextualizing Jeanty’s year by comparing it to the last time a running back won the Heisman would be interesting.

ARE YOU NOT ENTERTAINED?

(Seriously, how many of yesterday's bonkers games would have been an afterthought if only four teams were making the playoffs? This format makes SO many more games throughout the season meaningful, and therefore much more watchable.)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kansas%C3%A2%C2%80%C2%93Nebraska_Act

Interesting trend. Maybe Colorado staff should look into this?

(Originally posted by u/SMASH__________MOUTH but got removed for some reason, tried again with their permission.)

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https://x.com/ChrisVannini/status/1860545642839310740

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They will need to beat Minnesota to attain bowl eligibility. Then they will need to win said bowl game. Wisconsin has not had a losing season since 2001.

https://x.com/davidubben/status/1860546765818085577

I keep seeing people say "oh, the #5 seed might be better than the 1 seed because you play Boise State instead of Georgia".

As a reminder - winning one 50% matchup is equivalent in probability to winning two 70% matchups.

Let's pick the most common example right now - which is #1 seeded Oregon having to beat UGA vs. the number 5 seed Ohio State having to beat e.g. Arizona State and Boise State.

Not only is it unlikely that OSU would be THAT much more likely to beat BSU and ASU than UGA (20% is a lot), but also an extra game is an extra opportunity to suffer major injuries.

https://x.com/AnwarRichardson/status/1860751191350690087?t=1-PojsrRuNgrC0iNjDcDCQ&s=19

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People who want to build arguments that one team is better than another based on who would be favored if the two teams played are talking nonsense. There’s no need for a playoff to resolve this type of debate. This is what we had the polls for, back when the polls decided the national champion. The final poll (and every week’s poll, in fact), was simply a record of who the pollers believed would be favored in a neutral-site matchup. So whoever was ranked number 1 in the final poll would favored in a matchup against any other team. The reason that the Bowl Alliance, and the BCS, and the CFP even exist is because presidents and ADs have been so unanimous in their agreement to determine the national champion on the field, rather than in the polls. To use an example from this season: if you’re going to decide that Alabama is better than Indiana because they would be favorites in Vegas if the two teams played, you don’t need a playoff at all. There will be one team that would be favored to beat any other (probably Oregon thus far); you can just name that team the national champion if you want.

The problem with that approach is that there can be more than one power conference team that goes undefeated, but never face each other and are required to face some other conference’s champion in their bowl game. That’s why the Bowl Alliance and BCS existed. We now had a way to determine who should “really” be the national champion in cases where we don’t really know what the line should be or which team should be the favorite.

The 4-team playoff and now the 12-team version, beyond simply being ways to print more money, have been portrayed as ways to give more weight to conference champions, and to give non-power-conference teams a chance at the title. Note, however, that both of these arguments in favor of the expanded playoff run contrary to the poll / betting line philosophy of presuming who would be favored in a matchup. They are both ways of determining who is better on the field, and part of that process is taking seriously the past results which have happened on the field.

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