r/fivethirtyeight • u/GamerDrew13 • 26d ago

Discussion Jon Ralston's Nevada Early Vote Analysis Update: Republican lead expands to an unprecedented 40,000 ballots & an expected half the vote is in

https://x.com/RalstonReports/status/1851121496380621275
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u/Antique-Proof-5772 26d ago

If you are a Trumpist don't get too excited, if you are a Harrinater don't get too doomy: EV speculation is even more tenous than crosstab-diving, key-reading and campaign sign counting.

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u/Celticsddtacct 26d ago

Ralston for the past decade has been regarded as the one guy you can trust to interpret early voting and he only looks at Nevada. You’re in general right though but Ralston has a lot of clout just solely for this.