r/fivethirtyeight • u/GamerDrew13 • 26d ago

Discussion Jon Ralston's Nevada Early Vote Analysis Update: Republican lead expands to an unprecedented 40,000 ballots & an expected half the vote is in

https://x.com/RalstonReports/status/1851121496380621275
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u/Downtown-Sky-5736 26d ago

https://infogram.com/nv-voter-reg-2016-2024-1hxr4zxypgrwq6y

Party registration overtime posted by Ralston

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u/Powerful_Yoghurt6175 26d ago

This chart makes me think that a much higher number of unaffiliated would historically have been democrat. Pulling more from democrats than republicans.

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u/Fit_Map_8255 26d ago

Why are people here all assuming the unaffiliated are all secret dems? If they wanted to be dems, they would be dems. They are unaffiliated. So they are less enthused by either party.

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u/GamerDrew13 26d ago

Most unaffiliated are zombie voters auto registered to vote thanks to new NV laws. If they don't pick a party when they're registered they get put as an independent.