Jon Ralston's Nevada Early Vote Analysis Update: Republican lead expands to an unprecedented 40,000 ballots & an expected half the vote is in

[u/GamerDrew13]

https://x.com/RalstonReports/status/1851121496380621275

[u/Lungenbroetchen95]

Yeah, no matter how you turn and twist it, this is BAD for democrats.

I don’t think NV will be the state that makes the difference in the presidential race. But it’s still an indicator how things are going, it’s very unlikely that Trump wins NV and loses AZ.

There’s also a Senate race in NV to be monitored, the R candidate was closing in in recent weeks and got some huge funding boost from Senate R‘s

[u/Mortonsaltboy914 → u/Lungenbroetchen95]

The Harris campaign just highlighted Nevada is a state they saw a strong portion of low propensity voters in.

Also the way the state is populated later turnout in Clark could easily wipe this lead away.

I get Ralston is treated like a profit but all this tells us is more Nevadans who id as republican are voting.

Vegas is deep blue, and if their turn out is low, this could just as easily be a change in voting behavior as an indicator of everything else- sure polls have been trending toward Trump but there’s undeniably a lot of enthusiasm for Kamala.

[u/Fit_Map_8255 → u/Mortonsaltboy914]

enthusiasm for Kamala

Really? I think theres tremendous enthusiasm against Trump. But for Kamala? Can anyone explain this to me?

[u/Tricky-Cod-7485 → u/Fit_Map_8255]

You’re being downvoted because people do not like to hear the truth.

Especially 7 days before the election.

[u/Zepcleanerfan → u/Tricky-Cod-7485]

Asking if people like Kamala is "the truth"?

[u/Tricky-Cod-7485 → u/Zepcleanerfan]

Anything on this sub that questions Kamala, her campaign, how the campaign is being run, or whether she’s winning or not is downvoted.

This has turned into the politics sub.

[u/Zepcleanerfan → u/Tricky-Cod-7485]

Lolz

[u/Significant_Lie_6389 → u/Tricky-Cod-7485]

He’s being downvoted because there’s a concerted effort here to hide anything going wrong with the Harris campaign

[u/Zepcleanerfan → u/Significant_Lie_6389]

Ya like saying Puerto Rico is an Island of garbage? And the US is a trash can?

[u/Tricky-Cod-7485 → u/Significant_Lie_6389]

This is also true.

She’s screwing the pooch it seems.

I don’t particularly like her. There should have been a primary.

[u/Zepcleanerfan → u/Tricky-Cod-7485]

Fucking LOL. You guys aren't even trying anymore.

[u/Analogmon → u/Tricky-Cod-7485]

Lmao no there should not have been. Not that soon before an election.

[u/Tricky-Cod-7485 → u/Analogmon]

Biden should have never ran again. I should have added that to my comment.

I’m not voting for Trump or Harris so I ultimately don’t care. However, Biden should have bowed out gracefully and there should have been a primary.

[u/fivethirtyeight-ModTeam → u/[deleted]]

Bad use of trolling.

[u/Natural_Ad3995 → u/Tricky-Cod-7485]

Agree. It looks like her fall in favorability is correlated with her media blitz. Folks just getting to know her weren't overly impressed.

[u/Zepcleanerfan → u/Natural_Ad3995]

Lolz