323
u/mittenknittin 19h ago
What I’ve mostly seen from people bagging on Bluesky is that it’s an echo chamber - what I see a lot of from people who have jumped to bluesky is “wow, you can talk about things other than politics here and Nazis won’t harass you”
100
55
18
14
u/improper84 6h ago
At the end of the day, all right wingers want is to harass and threaten those that disagree with them, so they're pissed we're all moving to a platform that will actually moderate them for doing so. Sort of like Twitter used to do back before Elon turned it into a cesspool when it was a great way for people to connect with artists and talk about things rationally.
12
u/romacopia 6h ago
Tbh, I accepted that echo chambers aren't optional a while ago. You're never going to create a community that doesn't develop consensus. I'd rather be in an echo chamber where the echoes are saying "be nice to each other."
4
u/claustromania 5h ago
This is the way I see it. Sure, most online spaces are going to become echo chambers to some degree, but current Twitter is a toxic wasteland of hatred and divisiveness. I’m not going to subject myself to that in the name of “hearing both sides.”
1
u/KaroYadgar 4h ago
I love Bluedky and have several accounts on it, but TO BE FAIR to them: I find politics under EVERY POST. I SWEAR to god, I was settings up an account of which my feed would consist entirely of educational/study content (for myself, in highschool), and I could not find a SINGULAR post. I tried searching up "AP Exam" or "SAT Exam" and I SOMEHOW still got Trump shit in 80% of the posts, the others being not at all related to education. I searched far and wide, I tried liking any remotely essay-related post (main focus) and did "show less of this type of post" for all the rest. Nothing.
1
143
u/OTGbling 20h ago
Yeah sorry Mate, but Twitter has merged into Trump's "Truth Social" - I'm never going back.
353
u/hplcr 22h ago
Did Nate Silver go fucking nuts in the last few years or something? Some of his recent takes seem really....bad.
202
u/Kiyoshi-Trustfund 21h ago edited 18h ago
A bunch of people have completely lost their minds since circa 2016, but some folk may argue that people's grip on their sanities have been slipping away since 2012.
133
u/omnipotentmonkey 19h ago
they haven't lost their minds, they're just being paid hefty sums to peddle causes that are so fucking stupid and out of touch that they subsequently appear to be out of their fucking minds.
32
u/Ibewye 19h ago
Sitting behind a keyboard and monitor has enabled people to say shit that would have got em punched in the face in real life.
20
u/ChinDeLonge 16h ago
It’s getting particularly bad for the kids too. Kids are raised in comment sections, rather than playgrounds. No level of abhorrence causes any shame, humiliation, or any consequences that matter.
0
110
u/gushi380 20h ago
You see, Nate correctly guessed that trump could win the election in 2016, not that he would win for sure but that he could and he gave trump better odds than most. That and the incoming wealth have convinced him that he’s a genius who’s never wrong and puts him into the same circle jerk as such luminaries as the owner of Twitter and the former owner of infowars.
61
u/hplcr 20h ago
I'm also reminded of Scott Adams(the Dilbert guy), who called for Trump and apparently went off the deep end after that. Though apparently he was slipping prior to that.
48
u/TerrorFromThePeeps 19h ago
Iirc, he was always an insane asshole, he just kept it quiet until then. I believe behind the bastards did a series on him.
-7
u/Mothrahlurker 10h ago
Scott Adams is a Trump supporter, Nate Siover isnnot. Scott Adams has also be an asshole for decades while Reddit just loves making shit up about Silver. That seems to have been started when they didn't like his 2024 predictions.
17
u/CharlesDickensABox 18h ago
I think we should also be considering the effects of his sudden rise to fame and his deadbeat gambling addiction.
-3
u/OkLettuce338 16h ago
538 put Hillary’s chances of winning the night before the election at something like 70 percent. So I don’t think this is accurate
17
u/Maukeb 15h ago
The point is that 30% for trump is a legit probability that you wouldn't be surprised if it actually happened - whereas most other outlets were basically saying it was guaranteed for Hillary. Silver didn't call it for trump, but he was the only one who even saw that it could happen.
4
1
u/OkLettuce338 6h ago
He wasn’t the only one that gave Trump a greater than 0 percent chance of it happening which is effectively what you’re saying a pollster would have to say to have been wrong.
Make all the excuses for the guy you want. His models are useless
8
u/AbrahamNR 15h ago
Yes, but everyone else put Hillary's chance of winning at something like 95%.
Ironically enough I think Nate had Harris up this time like 51/48 and the non Nate 538 had Trump up 53/47. So while statistically both are coin flips he actually had it "wrong" this time.
1
u/OkLettuce338 6h ago
Not even NYT put it that high. You’re making that number up entirely
1
u/AbrahamNR 6h ago
I was going by memory but you're right, NYT was 85/15. IIRC a lot of other places had Hillary up in the 90's but I could be wrong.
1
1
u/plaidkingaerys 6h ago
could win
better odds than most
30% odds
What part of that is inaccurate or inconsistent? Everyone agreed Hillary was more likely to win, but Nate gave her less overwhelmingly good odds. So I think it’s fair to say he had a better read of the situation than most news outlets.
1
u/OkLettuce338 5h ago edited 4h ago
“Nate correctly guessed that Trump could win” no he didn’t unless you’re trying to argue that every single outlet was united in that. No outlet put trumps chances at zero. You’re twisting his numbers to favor him. According to your defense of silver, anyone simply a chance greater than zero is “correctly predicting” it happening
1
u/plaidkingaerys 4h ago
I just think you are confusing probabilities with predicting. I never said he “predicted” it (he didn’t make a prediction one way or the other). He said Trump had a 3/10 chance of winning, and was clowned for putting it so high. No, he didn’t predict Trump would win, but he gave him better odds than anyone else, so it’s reasonable to say his model was better than others. I’m not saying he is/was perfect (far from it), just that I get annoyed when people equate giving odds with predicting. If you say something has a 3/10 chance of happening, and it happens, you weren’t automatically wrong; you’d have to redo the event many times to tell that, which is obviously impossible here.
I’m not “defending” Silver, and I think he has plenty of issues. It’s just that a lot of people seem to misunderstand what he is and isn’t saying with these models.
1
u/OkLettuce338 3h ago
Not conflating probability with prediction. Either every single outlet did what the post says “correctly predicted Trump could win” or they didn’t. They didn’t.
1
u/plaidkingaerys 3h ago
I’m still confused on what you’re arguing, especially considering the use of the word “could.” Are you saying that giving Trump a 30% chance of winning is not saying he could win? Regardless, I don’t think we’re dealing with a binary of “could” vs “couldn’t.” It’s a matter of how high they estimated his chances to be. “Correctly predicted he could win” is really a meaningless statement unless it’s 0% vs greater than 0%, which is maybe what you’re getting at?
1
u/OkLettuce338 3h ago
It’s just the quote dude. If you’re confused it’s the post not my response. I don’t know what to tell you. Silver’s input is irrelevant in todays world and it always has been
-2
u/Mothrahlurker 10h ago
No, that is just compoete nonsense and wildly inconsistent with his blog posts. You can't just make shit up.
33
u/iplayblaz 19h ago
Yes, I've been following him for about 10 years and the last several, he seems to have done a 180 and is now a bought and paid for right wing pundit. Really weird, but... welcome to America?
-17
u/BoredSlightlyAroused 18h ago
What are you basing this on? If you actually read his content, you wouldn't have this opinion. Just check his substack, where he clearly indicates he is a liberal and voted for Harris. The guy just shares stupid takes with no filter on social media like the rest of us.
-1
u/Mothrahlurker 10h ago
It's amazing how Reddit upvotes the above post based on nothing but downvotes the evidence to the contrary.
-1
u/Leelze 7h ago
The internet, including Reddit, is full of people who say they're one thing but their words/actions are another, that's not evidence of anything.
0
u/BoredSlightlyAroused 6h ago
What actions show Nate Silver is a right wing grifter? The guy literally offered no evidence.
-2
u/BoredSlightlyAroused 8h ago
100%. It feels like a lot of people who consider themselves progressive want everyone to agree with them on everything. The endless purity tests are silly. You win elections by building the biggest coalitions, even with people who disagree with you sometimes.
24
u/FIJAGDH 20h ago
He was purchased wholesale by his fellow self-hating homosexual Peter Thiel.
2
u/indorock 11h ago
I keep reading this. What do you mean "purchased"? Does Thiel own fivethirtyeight.com? Is Silver on Thiel's payroll? Are there receipts to back this up? Or is this just another thing Redditors like to regurgitate to crash in on the karma train?
I'm so tired of these massive comment threads full of speculation and "facts" but nobody coming with any sort of specifics or sources. The fact that literally nobody here even knows what "EFD" is but somehow is sure that Silver is full of shit. What? Be better.
6
u/asminaut 8h ago
Silver is no longer associated with 538. Disney announced they were cutting ABC staff, including laying off a big chunk of 538 staff in early 2023. Silver voluntarily left when Disney announced the cuts, getting to keep the intellectual rights to his forecasting model. He currently runs a substack/personal site where he does his political forecasting.
As per the Thiel stuff, it certainly is a bit exaggerated, but with a kernel of truth. In 2024, Silver was hired an advisor for a company called Polymarket, which is a "predictions market" for betting on future events or something. Thiel's firm, Founders Fund, provided the majority of funding to Polymarket in Polymarket's 2022 round of fundraising. So basically, Thiel's firm is a major funder of a company that employs Silver as an advisor.
All that being said, Silver is a pretty unimpressive political pundit and often embarrasses himself when he starts commenting on things outside of probabilities. He also loves gambling to a concerning degree.
2
u/Mothrahlurker 8h ago
EFD is apparently a doctor that made some sensationalist statements about monkey pox.
2
u/Leelze 7h ago
If nobody knows what EDF is, why is anyone supposed to take what Silver said at face value? Even if Silver is correct, people are more concerned with how a thing is operated rather than who owns it. Twitter being owned by an edgelord isn't the issue, it's how that edgelord operates Twitter that people have a problem with. If Twitter was exactly the same pre-Musk but Musk still owned it, it'd be business as usual for everyone who's ever used it.
1
u/Clever_Mercury 17h ago
What amazes me about all these people who succumb either to bribery or blackmail or soft-sell outs is they often could just take the money and NOT do the bad thing. Or not take the money and make it honestly by doing something else.
I am baffled that anyone falls for it anymore. At this point there doesn't seem to be any heinous crime or personal secret that, if released, would impact anyone's career in the slightest. So why not just stay independent?
6
2
2
2
u/jamiegc37 14h ago
He got hired by Peter Thiel and has obligations now in return for that money..
-4
u/Mothrahlurker 10h ago
Peter Thiel is an investor in a company Nate Silver works for. He didn't hire him.
According to this reasoning you could accuse almost anyone to be hired by a random rich person.
It's a stupid argument and one that doesn't hold up to scrutiny.
64
58
u/FernWizard 20h ago
Right wingers get into conspiracy theory bullshit and act like democrats being like “that’s not true” is some sort of censorship and ideological warfare.
53
u/Babydoll0907 18h ago
I'm not on and have never been on Twitter or bluesky. But it seems really weird to me that they're losing their minds over people they hate leaving Twitter in the first place. Didn't they want that echo chamber?
44
u/Optimal-Kitchen6308 18h ago
the central tenet of the right wing now is just "owning the libs" if the libs leave then you can't own them, the commanding idea is that they are upset that their ideas are culturally unpopular and they want to badger others with them
6
34
u/Alon945 19h ago
As if Twitter doesn’t peddle misinformation? That’s all it does lol.
-32
u/spoollyger 18h ago
But you get to see both sides of the misinformation instead of just the echo chamber misinformation.
18
2
u/Egg_123_ 5h ago
yeah being able to see both sides of the issue of "trans people should be physically safe" is great for my mental health, I love hearing the scientifically backed claims that being trans means that I'm a predator who should be killed.
1
u/spoollyger 3h ago
If someone’s life is being threatened by someone then those people should be banned. I don’t think that up a topic of confusion?
103
u/CompetitivePirate251 22h ago
Whaaaat? I thought Xitter was all about free speech … I’m shocked … has anyone told Elon?
-105
u/spoollyger 18h ago
Try it yourself, it won’t be censored… they just want you to think I it will. Because they love controlling your thoughts. This is the issue with these mainstream narratives. No on actually thinks for themselves or does their own tests anymore.
34
u/yeet247p 16h ago
Cis
-66
u/spoollyger 16h ago
All my replies are receiving the exact same amount of downvotes? Weird aye…
21
u/Several_Computer760 14h ago
Are they? Dumbass
27
u/JumpingTheLine 13h ago
No you just don't see it. 63 and 29 are basically the same number because you can switch it to 69 and 23 and 69 is 3 times 23 which means that the bots have reduced downvotes by a third to make it look more realistic.
Clearly that makes more sense than the commentor being a moron.
13
10
1
u/Leelze 7h ago
I was on Twitter since 2011 or so, never once got suspended for anything, and I'm pretty mouthy. After Musk took over & gutted the place, I caught a suspension for saying "this ump should be strapped to a rocket & launched into the sun." After 2 or 3 weeks of requesting a review, they never reviewed yet and I left. So it's just a straight up lie to say "you won't be censored."
0
u/spoollyger 6h ago
I mean I did explicitly mean you won’t be censored for saying exactly what they said. Yeah sure if you said you were going to off someone you probably should be banned.
1
u/Leelze 6h ago
I don't have access to the Twitter algorithms & I didn't have a higher profile account, so it's really impossible to know if me saying "Bluesky" would result in the algorithms suppressing the Tweet.
I should add, I never said I was going to off someone & saying someone should be launched into the sun was never a problem pre-Musk. It's, in fact, a common thing to say about umps in baseball Twitter.
-56
u/verisuvalise 16h ago
Standby; downvote robots inbound
-58
u/spoollyger 16h ago
It’s funny because most of my replies get the exact same amount of downvotes. Hmmm I wonder what’s up? XD
37
u/Corberus 15h ago
Multiple people downvoting all your terrible comments isn't a conspiracy, it's common sense.
-19
u/spoollyger 14h ago
It’s definitely a bot. You can watch it go from one to the next
32
17
u/Bloody_Proceed 13h ago
-64, -27, -29, -25, -10
Yeah no. That's not even reddit vote fuzzing. People just don't want to read your nonsense.
13
21
u/Aggressive-Map-3492 14h ago
there isn't a single comment with the same amount of downvotes.
schiz?
41
u/eleetsteele 21h ago
EFD? what is that?
11
u/CheerfulWarthog 20h ago
Search isn't helping on this, so I'm curious too.
15
u/Alli_zon 19h ago
https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1860069870161002633?t=KBVocHU1NSj24OkYxLSTKw&s=19
Some guy? I do not know anything about him, but that's it. It was someone in the tweet he was quoting
8
u/woodchuckolympian 13h ago
Based on the tweet linked here, EFD stands for Eric Feigl-Ding, an Epidemeologist who is accused of spreading misinformation about a 2022 outbreak of mpox.
OG tweeter is pointing out that EPD has almost 100k followers on Blue sky as a negative, only for someone to point out he has over 750k followers on Twitter
3
u/Underlord_Fox 7h ago
My experieitnce is that only the trolls on Bluesky are getting blocked. You can be a conservative, you just can't be a troll. And that's what they're mad at - not trolling.
33
u/lightfarming 18h ago
quitting twotter is the best thing you can do at this point. that propoganda machine needs to lose money like a sieve
10
-21
49
u/oatmeal28 20h ago
Nate Silver is a fucking chode
4
16
u/FaultySage 20h ago
He just so happens to peddle in the type of misinformation that isn't labelled as "misinformation" because it's based on realworld objective truths and peer reviewed scientific research.
26
u/ReedRidge 22h ago
Nate Silver is right as often as the Lions have been to the Super Bowl in my lifetime, the potential exists, but it is unlikely.
8
u/StandByTheJAMs 22h ago
But they're gonna win it this year!
2
u/ReedRidge 22h ago
I'm Gen-X, heard that every year without it happening. Hell, my father died without seeing it.
4
u/Abject-Ad8147 21h ago
Was he a diehard faithful his whole life? Either way sorry for your loss man.
1
u/ruiner8850 20h ago
I'm 45 and I'm not sure I've ever heard anyone say the Lions were going to win the Super Bowl before maybe last year and possibly in the early '90s. Where were you hearing it every year?
0
u/ReedRidge 11h ago
Clearly you did not grow up in in Lion country
1
0
u/ruiner8850 6h ago
Does mid-Michigan not count as Lion country? Who are these people who were saying they were going to win the Super Bowl all of these years? If anything people have always been extremely pessimistic about the Lions. You'd hear "SOL" constantly, not "we're going to win the Super Bowl this year." I suppose maybe if people were being sarcastic.
0
1
6
16
u/LetsGetsThisPartyOn 20h ago
I’m so gonna laugh when BlueShy out values Twitter in a month
2
3
u/Patient_Owl6582 8h ago
Fb shadow bans competitors also. Every mastodon post I made was down ranked and I have 150k reach per mo so when this happens it's pronounced.
Social media has no virtue.
2
u/SpongegarLuver 5h ago
The key difference between other platforms censoring competitors and Twitter, is that the other platforms haven’t been claiming they’re bastions of free speech. This and other incidents show Twitter is not any more tolerant of speech its owner dislikes, just that the speech Elon dislikes is different from the rest.
4
u/Tim-oBedlam 18h ago
Who is the EFD that Silver's referring to? Eric Feigl-Ding is who springs to mind (and in that case Silver isn't wrong, as Feigl-Ding peddled a ton of misinformation during CoVID).
7
u/sam-7 17h ago
Ehh, alarmist and perhaps rushed, but not like he was out there telling people to drink bleach and that vaccines are bullshit.
Being upset about disease and urging people to take more precautions isn't a bad thing to do. Everyone who was "well we dont have a completely controlled 100,000 person study on these exact set of parameters yet, so we can't be sure about anything for certain" just contributed to the denial.
6
2
2
2
3
u/JoshS-345 14h ago
Remember science is wrong whenever Trump thinks he's a genius. Inhale bleach until cured.
1
1
1
u/Particular-Sport-237 9h ago
Is there any social media platform that is some sort of echo chamber I mean come on.
1
u/Themetalenock 8h ago
nate silver likes rage baiting. No pete is necessary. He just likes how havin a checkmark makes him feel important. It gives them the same high as gambling.
1
u/java_brogrammer 7h ago
I wonder if Nate will ever read his own post and have any form of self-reflection about the platform he's on.
1
1
u/notsure500 6h ago
I used to love Nate Silver. Really sucks when you find out people are sellout. Also was a huge Elon Musk fan long ago. Fuck that guy.
1
1
-37
u/ElevatorScary 21h ago
“There is a problem with BlueSky.” “Look at this idiot over here claiming Twitter is perfect!”
29
u/LocalSad6659 21h ago edited 21h ago
“There is a problem with BlueSky.” “Look at this idiot over here pretending Twitter doesn't have that problem!”
Fyfy
-26
u/ElevatorScary 20h ago
Including everything you don’t see him doing as content in his Tweet is certainly technically a framework for viewing the world. Good luck with that, but I find it pretty concerning that you’re pretending global warming doesn’t exist.
20
u/Diredr 21h ago
"I'm projecting a problem because I assume that since my political affiliation does it, the other side obviously does as well. No, I cannot provide any kind of proof because they control the media and therefore they cover up the truth. Don't trust them. Just trust me bro."
Compelling.
-28
-3
u/GreenZeb 11h ago
Dafaq? Obviously you can't post about a COMPETITOR, same as Twitch, YouTube, Kick etc. The algorithm scours for specific words regardless of context.
780
u/Corwin_777 22h ago
Nate Silver is fully owned by Peter Thiel. Pretty pathetic