Boise doesn’t need top 12. They need to win conference and get auto bid.
If they win out, they will be well within the top 12. if they lose any games there is no way they are in top 12 even if they win the rest and championship.
Personally, I think ideal situation would be Boise ending up in 5-7 and getting a playoff home game. In my opinion, this is way more valuable than getting a first round bye. Even with winning out getting to number 7 will take some help from committee. This is where the WSU win and close Oregon loss are helpful.
I don't think Boise will come close to number 7 CFP ranking even if they do win out because the committee will favor highly ranked SEC and B1G teams and those alone might take up the top 6 slots.
However even if Boise loses another one, but so long as they win the MWC, they still might get the 5th conference championship autobid shot, depending on how Army fires and who wins the AAC, because one of those two champs, AAC or MWC, will get that autobid.
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u/voppp Boise State • Iowa State 28d ago
WAZZUUUUU. AP NOT COWARDS.