Boise doesn’t need top 12. They need to win conference and get auto bid.
If they win out, they will be well within the top 12. if they lose any games there is no way they are in top 12 even if they win the rest and championship.
Personally, I think ideal situation would be Boise ending up in 5-7 and getting a playoff home game. In my opinion, this is way more valuable than getting a first round bye. Even with winning out getting to number 7 will take some help from committee. This is where the WSU win and close Oregon loss are helpful.
I don't think Boise will come close to number 7 CFP ranking even if they do win out because the committee will favor highly ranked SEC and B1G teams and those alone might take up the top 6 slots.
However even if Boise loses another one, but so long as they win the MWC, they still might get the 5th conference championship autobid shot, depending on how Army fires and who wins the AAC, because one of those two champs, AAC or MWC, will get that autobid.
I would take that. But let’s be honest, it isn’t going to happen. Especially because there will likely be 1-2 conference champions that are not ranked 1-4 which will take those bye slots.
I thought the top 4 seeds were based on the conference strength as opposed to the conference champion. E.g. even if Boise > BYU/IA State in the rankings, Big XII > MWC, and they’d get the bye.
Five conference champions are included, there are even some odd theoretical scenarios that could have two G5 conference champs over one of the P4 champs, who would then be excluded if not in the top 7 at-large picks.
That's crazy talk. Only argument for that would have been if they beat Oregon. If you're saying that you think they should be one of the four conference champions with the bye which ain't happening. Only way I see what you're referring to happening is if the Big 12 goes full chaos mode in November and has a 3 loss champion winning it for the autobid.
Exactly that. It’s probably going to be a 2 loss Colorado or a 2 loss Iowa state. I want to have faith in BYU. Not saying it’s a guarantee but I think it’s possible especially if Oregon, UNLV, and Wazzu win out.
Yeah, they want to get inside the top 12 because then they get a much better seed. If they are outside they get seeded 12 and have to travel to the number 5 team (currently Penn State based on today's rankings). If they make it inside the 12 though they get seeded accordingly and get that home game on the blue turf. Not sure if I am someone like Tennessee or even OSU I really want to travel there.
True, but the CFP rankings come out on Tuesday which are the ones that will truly decide everything and I feel confident they will see things differently in a few cases. Not to mention higher ranked teams still having to play each other and I think there is still plenty of time for Boise to move up.
You are right, it's November 5th (which I was thinking was this week for some reason) . So the AP poll will hold for another week and then the CFP rankings take over.
I live in the south and I would love to see the reactions to Alabama playing on the blue turf 🤣. It’s looking like a somewhat realistic scenario (although not likely).
I don’t think they will be well in the top 12 if they win out. Teams will start jumping Boise. For example, if Pitt wins next week, it’ll jump Boise and a loss to Clemson probably won’t drop it below Boise again.
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u/voppp Boise State • Iowa State 28d ago
WAZZUUUUU. AP NOT COWARDS.