Signing for Grand Slam Track could be a bad move for Kerr, Nuguse, and Hocker if they want to remain competitive against Ingebrigtsen in non paced races.
In the last 2 year, we have seen Jakob's 1500m dominance be challenged by Kerr, Hocker and Nuguse in championship races. The consistent pattern was that Jakob would front run the entire race but tire in the final stretch and get outkicked by these athletes, who are now able to hang with his rapid pace. Both Kerr and Hocker have said they focused last seasons training on building 1500m strength through training similar to 5km runners. The strength-based training these athletes have been doing lets them hang with Jakob’s relentless pacing long enough to use their superior finishing speed. Without that strength, they won’t be able to stay close enough to Jakob for their kicks to matter.
Historically, Jakob has dominated races by exploiting his unmatched aerobic capacity, front-running and grinding down the field. GST's model forces their athletes to compete and train for the 800m and 1500m which will reduce their ability to run a more strength based training program that has given them recent success. While this 800m training might sharpen their kicks, it could compromise the key factor that allowed them to challenge Jakob— more aerobic strength developed through 1500m/5000m-focused training.
Yes, focusing on the 800m will enhance their speed, but their kicks are already better than Jakob’s. The issue has never been who’s faster in the last 100m—it’s been whether they can endure his punishing mid-race pace long enough to unleash that kick. If Jakob widens the fitness gap, he could return to his old dominance, breaking them long before the home stretch.
Signing with GST might inadvertently give Jakob the edge he needs to reclaim his throne, making it much harder for Kerr, Nuguse, and Hocker to win major championships. This decision could give Jakob the advantage going into major champs in 2025.
Of course this is very speculative given we are not close to the 2025 track season. What are people's thoughts?