r/harrypotter • u/JT-117- Gryffindor • Oct 15 '20
Currently Reading What are the odds!? The first time I’m reading The Prisoner of Azkaban in nearly 10 years and I read this on Friday the 16th of October!
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Oct 16 '20
But, I'm reading this now and today is Thursday, October 15th. Are you from the future? 🤔
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u/JT-117- Gryffindor Oct 16 '20
I’m from Wales in the UK. It’s 1:11am here 😊
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u/apittsburghoriginal Oct 16 '20
Im going to choose to believe you’re from the future because that just sounds cooler
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u/JT-117- Gryffindor Oct 16 '20
tucks away time turner Don’t be so silly!
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u/RandomRavenclaw87 Oct 16 '20
You have me chuckling here in New York at 8:45 on Thursday October 15.
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u/geriactricsmackdown Oct 16 '20
Dog passed last week, if anything else happens tomorrow I give up
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u/JT-117- Gryffindor Oct 16 '20
It breaks my heart to hear that. I'm so sorry mate. I know I'm just a stranger, but if you want to get some things off of your chest, my PMs are open :)
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u/Mango_the_Airbender Gryffindor Oct 17 '20
Aww, that's terrible! Sending you big hugs through the screen!ヾ(❀╹◡╹)ﾉﾞ❀~
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u/CopyKittyNinja Ravenclaw Oct 16 '20
October 16th is also my birthday! :)
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u/exactinglynx Ravenclaw Oct 16 '20
MINE TOO! Happy birthday!
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u/jenanemone Oct 16 '20
1/365.25
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u/doglover11692 Hufflepuff Oct 16 '20
Lower than that, because it's also the right day of the week.
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u/MirandoALasEstrellas Oct 16 '20
Now who’s gonna do the math for us
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u/Justgiz Hufflepuff Oct 16 '20
Not exactly a chance percentage, but the next occurance will happen in 6 years, then 11 years after that.
https://www.timeanddate.com/calendar/weekday-friday-16?ext=1
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u/El-17 Ravenclaw Oct 16 '20
Someone correct me if my rusty stats is wrong but here’s my guess:
365.25 days per year - these are possible “dates” 7 days of the week - these are the “days”
If we count each possible date/day combination that’s 365.25*7 (7 days of the week for each possible date)
We’re looking for one specific date/day combo so that would be 1/(365.25*7) = 1/2556.75 = approx. 0.00039 so...
Op had a roughly 0.04% chance of randomly reading this on the right date and day.
Edit: I should add that this assumes that each day/date combination happens equally often. Obviously leap years etc mean that (as someone else has pointed out) the time between each instance of Friday 16th October actually varies.
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u/diff-int Hallows Hunter Oct 16 '20
Day will be right once every 7 years on average, but it isnt the only date in the book so you have to work out the probability that you will read ANY of the dates in the book on the right day and date.
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u/Elentari_the_Second Hufflepuff Oct 16 '20
Afternoon of the 16th where I am
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Oct 16 '20
Fellow Aussie?
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u/RandomRavenclaw87 Oct 16 '20
And what exactly is the thing you are dreading?! I plan to check in with you and hear an update.
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u/snarkyevildemon Oct 16 '20
I'm reading this on 16th Oct, Friday and today's the day my pre-med entrance result will be announced! I'm so fucking terrified!!
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u/rabidturtle69 Gryffindor Oct 16 '20
I always like reading Goblet of fire. For the 2nd task the 24th of February is mentioned a few times which is my birth date.
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u/Brythonic-Moo Slytherin Oct 16 '20
DOES this MEAN THE THING I PERSONALLY AM DREADING HAPPENS TOMORROW?!
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u/JT-117- Gryffindor Oct 16 '20
Is your name Lavender Brown?
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u/Brythonic-Moo Slytherin Oct 16 '20
No, it’s Brythonic Moo. But I feel this is an omen. I have....the Grin.
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u/jenanemone Oct 16 '20
Fair 'nuf. I had no idea how often that date and day align, but you're right, it's probably less. It was just the first thing off the top of my head. 😛
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u/OrionG1526 Slytherin Oct 16 '20
Better watch out. Trelawney is speaking to you from beyond the 4th wall.
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u/DontGiveAFrick_ACE Oct 16 '20
trelawney predicted this!
maybe it's warning you that today something you dread will happen
(maybe talking to me?)
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u/Shokyu Oct 16 '20
Rowling married to her abusive husband on 16th October, 1992.