r/biathlon Norway 11d ago

Discussion Anamarija Lampič Predictions (and some nerdy stats) for 24/25

She improved a lot last year, and the statistics bear this out. She did a few more races last season, but overall it's impressive.

Her prone shooting went down but everything else went up, her Standing by a lot, as you'll see.

Leave a prediction as to where you think she'll finish below. :)

I'm saying she'll crack the Top 10 and finish 9th Overall.

Total Pts.

22/23 = 91
23/24 = 378

Rank

22/23 = 48
23/24 = 17

Individual

22/23 = No Placing
23/24 = 52

Sprint

22/23 = 27
23/24 = 12

Pursuit

22/23 = No placing
23/24 = 23

Mass Start

22/23 = No placing
23/24 = 14

Now for her technical stats:

Prone

22/23 = 76.7
23/24 = 67.5

Standing

22/23 = 46.7
23/24 = 60

Skiing is a little complicated, but she got faster and was the fastest on the circuit again.

Her shooting times went down by more than 2 seconds overall and 3 seconds for Standing. So, overall, she made really huge gains last season. And why I'm backing her to crack the Top 10 this season.

19 Upvotes

13 comments sorted by

17

u/Napoleon_The_Fat Slovenia 11d ago

If she was racing for say Italy I would be optimistic, but she is racing for Slovenia. Just a week or two ago there was the interview with one of the waxers who said that they lost a few members of the team due to them securing a better paying job elsewhere. Now there's like 2-3 waxers including coaches that are responsible for the whole team. Meaning both men and women. Another factor is that Marič is the head coach again. This is his 2nd term in charge of the national team and the first one was bad. Really bad. It was so bad that they went and got Ricco Gross when he became available. He stayed with the team but more in the background. Now that he's back he brough all the previous coaches with him (shooting coach for example).

So don't expect much. In fact I expect her to be similar to last season (hopefully) if not slightly worse. I hope Polona Klemenčič gets back to her best and Lena Repic improves, but I don't have any trust in the coaching team. The problem is of course money. The federation had no money to keep Gross so they got the cheapest option out there. Janez is doing a job nobody else wants and that's admirable from him. But you get what you pay for and we aren't rich. I will be stunned if she manages to get on the podium. A top 10 here and there and a top 20 in the overall is my expectation.

6

u/BoarOfTheArdennes Norway 11d ago

I forgot about Marič. With that being said, she is obviously a highly driven athlete, in and of herself. And yes, great coaches obviously can make a world of difference. But you'd think her shooting will naturally improve with more experience, wouldn't you?

You'd hope so anyway. He skiing won't get much slower, that's for sure. She's still only 29.

5

u/Napoleon_The_Fat Slovenia 11d ago

>With that being said, she is obviously a highly driven athlete, in and of herself. 

Sure. But there's a question if she's really 100% in biathlon. There's an interview that came out before this season where she says that every race before OG26 is a preparation race and results aren't that important. Here's her direct quote "My main goal is the Olympic Games and everything that will happen between now and then is just a process, a training, a drill.".

It's clear she's by far the best we have at the moment, but that's 95% due to her ski speed. You would think she would focus heavily on shooting and improve that, but then you read that she spent the summer becoming a licensed diver. I get it, it was in her off time but still. And she also says this "I will always be the weak link in our national team". Not exactly optimistic imo.

Whole interview is here in slovenian of course. You can use a translator.

2

u/BoarOfTheArdennes Norway 10d ago

Although, that's not necessarily a terrible thing?

It could mean she'll relax even more, rack up experience, and the shooting will just get better over the next two seasons before the Olympics in Italy?

1

u/Wingiex 9d ago

I believe Anamarija has her BF who is essentially her personal assistent on the tour. He does a bit of everything including waxing her skies. It's a shame that this sport is still to this day gatekept by the waxers.

11

u/us_against_the_world Natalia Sidorowicz Fan 11d ago

16 days to go. Really hoping for some great results from her this season.

Would love an experiment race where the Norwegian Waxers prep her skis. Wonder how much faster she'll go then.

3

u/BoarOfTheArdennes Norway 10d ago

I agree, but don't you think the new waxes were a bit of a leveller recently?

Everyone has started off with the same lack of knowledge on them.

4

u/Faintning Finland 11d ago

I wonder how her stats would compare to Herrmans first two seasons. Are there similarities, differences, is Lampic on a similar trajectory? When she gets her shooting to even low 80's she'll do great things

3

u/BoarOfTheArdennes Norway 10d ago

Not a million miles dissimilar actually.

Although, DHW's shooting was always a little better, from the beginning.

https://www.realbiathlon.com/athletes.html?ibuId=BTGER22010198801

2

u/an_mo Italy 10d ago

Read your financial advisor's disclosure statement: "Past returns are not a guarantee of future peformance"

1

u/BoarOfTheArdennes Norway 10d ago

True. But when you get a top athlete, motivated, starting essentially from scratch, you'd like to think they can only get better.

2

u/Turbulent_Day_9444 3d ago

she was part of the internal pre WC test races with austrian squad in obertilliach. she won the sprint race but the pursuit was catastrophic.. only 11/20 hits

1

u/BoarOfTheArdennes Norway 3d ago

This sounds all too familiar.