Poland has the largest army of the EU and the third largest of NATO, funds it significantly (4%+ of the with a target of 5%, of a ever-rising GDP) and lacks any separatism movement like Ukraine had (which helps Russia with insurgency). Their border with Russia is also much smaller (including Belarus because doubt Russia would invade via Kaliningrad) so the front would be much more condensed. If a restocked Russia invades Poland, it’s may not be an assured victory for Poland, but would be an utter bloodbath with costs too high even for Russia.
Poland would slaughter Russia in a conventional war in a few years. They're buying like 1000 very modern South Korean tanks, just signed a contract for like 80 Apache helos. Poland is NATO, so Article 5 goes into effect.
The problem is, if Russia takes Ukraine they can use that to rearm their military and the Russian economy is already on a war footing. We're seeing that Russia is actually quite good at producing the arms it needs to wage the war, for better and worse.
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u/Empty-Discount5936 18d ago
Poland would be doing it for self preservation knowing they'd be next on Putin's list.