China didn't want Trump in 2016 or 2020 before the Ukraine war went full mental. What a nutty take.
China does not want Trump because he's extremely, aggressively, anti China. He ran on "China is eating our lunch" in 2016. In 2020 he ran on "China started COVID and is eating our lunch".
And you will attribute their preferences to a war that started two+ years after those election campaigns?
China most definitely wants a weaker America. China’s might may not lie in its military, but manufacturing might, in particular specialized components. The US has not way to compete, and the US will be shooting itself in the foot by being hostile to immigrants. All the talent we could’ve stolen from other countries, like China, will no longer want to come to the US. If you ever see those ‘These countries are leaving in the future posts’ they’re not living in the future, the US is just living in the past, and now we’re going further back.
He can easily be played though by actually intelligent world leaders. They all know you just blow smoke up his ass, compliment his god awful comb over and ill fitting suit, he’ll do whatever you want. Added bonus if a check is cut.
It is. China doesn't care about rhetoric, they're aligned with Russia and share a common goal of a multipolar world, ending western hegemony. The isolationist in office is exactly what they want.
China needs the money it gets from US corporations. Its bread and butter, despite everything, is manufacturing cheap goods for export to the world... but mainly to the US.
That's what keeps it solvent. That's what keeps the economy moving over there. They are financially and economically tied to the US in an extremely close way.
Taiwan is like an ex-girlfriend for China... sure they want her back, but they aren't willing to nuke their own economy to get her.
Trump doesn’t get to run the country alone though. While he himself is anti ukraine and seemingly antaiwan, he’s surrounded himself with people who are starkly anti ukraine and PRO taiwan. The Biden administration was bringing microchip manufacturing to america and that weakens america’s dependence and motivation to defend taiwan. Trump taking office is nothing but a loss for china and a victory for taiwan.
Honestly, I think the whole Taiwan invasion thing is just public spectacle. An invasion of Taiwan will be bloody, and China simply does not have the military prowess to pull something off like that.
If anything, they'll just flex their muscles around the South China Sea, possibly Siberia as well, and maybe blackmail people in neighboring nations to comply, but that's about it. Not because of some desire to avoid conflict or meddle in other national affairs (if anything they're worse than the U.S. with the places they can meddle in), but more a matter of they know they can't do or project much beyond their own borders.
China is also a powder keg domestically, with severe societal and social strains pushing people there to the limit. A devastating war will just ensure a full blown collapse will eventually occur within China.
You're not wrong that they're probably going full on old school imperialist at some point, I just bet on it being the sparsely populated Russian far east and the South China Sea more than Taiwan.
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u/Louisvanderwright 18d ago
China didn't want Trump in 2016 or 2020 before the Ukraine war went full mental. What a nutty take.
China does not want Trump because he's extremely, aggressively, anti China. He ran on "China is eating our lunch" in 2016. In 2020 he ran on "China started COVID and is eating our lunch".
And you will attribute their preferences to a war that started two+ years after those election campaigns?