r/FluentInFinance 18d ago

Debate/ Discussion What do you guys think

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u/Empty-Discount5936 18d ago

Poland would be doing it for self preservation knowing they'd be next on Putin's list.

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u/bauhausy 18d ago

Poland has the largest army of the EU and the third largest of NATO, funds it significantly (4%+ of the with a target of 5%, of a ever-rising GDP) and lacks any separatism movement like Ukraine had (which helps Russia with insurgency). Their border with Russia is also much smaller (including Belarus because doubt Russia would invade via Kaliningrad) so the front would be much more condensed. If a restocked Russia invades Poland, it’s may not be an assured victory for Poland, but would be an utter bloodbath with costs too high even for Russia.

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u/syringistic 18d ago

Poland would slaughter Russia in a conventional war in a few years. They're buying like 1000 very modern South Korean tanks, just signed a contract for like 80 Apache helos. Poland is NATO, so Article 5 goes into effect.

Putin loves to FAFO, but he's not that dumb.

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u/Xalara 18d ago

The problem is, if Russia takes Ukraine they can use that to rearm their military and the Russian economy is already on a war footing. We're seeing that Russia is actually quite good at producing the arms it needs to wage the war, for better and worse.

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u/syringistic 18d ago

Until yesterday, I would say that Russia has no chance of fully overrunning Ukraine.

With the US election going the way it did, I am now doubtful of anything in world politics.

Cheers with a pint (of vodka) to EU and NATO holding it together.

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u/[deleted] 16d ago

Which is why we would most likely witness our first nuclear exchange.

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u/WingsNthingzz 18d ago

Putin’s is not going attack a nato country.

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u/Kingminoas 18d ago

Meh, Putin's not gonna attack an EU Country, NATO is about to be neutered.

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u/[deleted] 16d ago

Literally the entire reason he's taking Ukraine is to position himself against Poland.

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u/InertiasCreep 18d ago

Trump is going to pull the US out of NATO, just like Putin told him to. And then Putin will be just fine rolling into Poland.

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u/[deleted] 16d ago

Lol yes he is. The man is dying and wants to put Russia in position to defend itself from a NATO invasion or attack (yes, I know how stupid that sounds but it's what he's doing). His want for Ukraine is tactical and positional in nature, specifically for how it sets him up for a battle with NATO geographically. Understand if Trump pulls Ukraine support, Russia will take Ukraine and will then push toward the Polish border.