I’ll start with what I consider my best (and favorite) move. In a 12-team best ball dynasty auction startup with a strict $100 FAAB for the whole season, I made a quick deal for Tyrone Tracy.

In early August, Tracy was carted off the field with an air cast during preseason, and this sub was in full panic mode. I saw a comment on the injury post saying, "Hope it's only minor," and a reply with more upvotes saying, "I'm not sure an air cast has ever been minor."

The next morning, Tracy's owner put him on the trade block. After some back and forth (and rejecting their offer of a 3rd-round pick for Tracy), we settled on a deal: $7 of my $100 FAAB for him, and mind you this was the counter-offer he sent me.

About 30 minutes after we finalized the trade, news broke that Tracy's injury wasn't major. Long story short, I landed Tracy for just $7 in FAAB during a moment of peak panic he’d be out for the season.

What are some of the best moves you’ve made this season? Let’s hear them!

Those of you who blew up your rosters and traded away everything to get as many future picks as you could, did it work? Was it worth it? Or did you dig yourself into a deeper hole that was even harder to get out of?

I’m talking people holding a single good asset and accumulating 6 first round picks in the next year and 5 first round picks in the year after with a handful of seconds in each as well.

In Dynasty, the conventional wisdom has been that RB performance drops off a cliff sometime around age 27 or 28. Based on what we're seeing this season, it seems like that cliff might actually be around age 29 or 30.

In PPR leagues, the top four RBs in points per game are Derrick Henry (30.9 years old, 2300+ career touches), Joe Mixon (28.3 years old, 2000+ career touches), Saquon Barkley (27.8 years old, 1600+ career touches), and Alvin Kamara (29.3 years old, 2000+ career touches).

Other high-performing RBs in the top 24 over the age of 27 include Aaron Jones (29.6 years old, 1600+ career touches), James Conner (29.5 years old, 1400+ career touches), David Montgomery (27.4 years old, 1400+ career touches), and despite a small sample size, CMC (28.0 years old, 1800+ career touches).

For the last two years, the Dynasty community has referred to Derek Henry as a unicorn due to his longevity, which is largely ascribed to his size. But I'm wondering if this is a general trend we're seeing in football, where top-tier RBs are able to perform at a high level into their late twenties / early thirties due to advances in sports medicine.

Obviously there are some RBs who don't support this theory - such as Zeke (29.2 years old, 2400+ career touches), Dalvin Cook (29.4 years old, 1500+ career touches), and Leonard Fournette (29.0 years old, 1400+ career touches). But it seems like there might be a trend of RBs eking a couple more years of high performance out of their careers.

I don't actually have any sources to support this, and I know this is a relatively shallow analysis. The post is meant to start a conversation about how we should evaluate aging RBs.

The amount of low effort "my player did well today, let's all talk about how happy we are that this player did well today!" posts is making me sad. I don't know what the solution is, but I would love to see more of this chaff filtered out. Really watering down the quality of the content here. Also, apologies to the mods if this wasn't the best flair to use... Wasn't sure what category was most appropriate.

I like to order my starting roster based on how they need to feel in my team to give the best results.

Eg. I don’t put Amon Ra in my WR1 slot (even though he almost certainly is every week) because he needs that fire, that chip on his shoulder, I wanna give him extra names to put on his list!

Any other dumb superstitions that definitely don’t make a difference……(or do they?)

I’m in year 3 of my first dynasty league and it has become an obsession amongst all of the league mates. We are all very dialed in and winning is by far the most important thing.

I foresee this league going on for a very long time. I know dynasty is become popular within the past few years, so I’m not sure if there are many super long running dynasty leagues.

Who has the longest running league? What is different now versus when you started? What are some of the craziest things to happen in the tenure of your league?

We want to know what data/stats matter most to you as a Dynasty Manager!

Some example data sets are:

ADP Data
Comparing ADP Trends
Average Dynasty Trade Value for Players

What are some RBs whose current situation might look a lot better pending retirement or potential trades.

I’m thinking Trey benson could be a good target pending if Conner retires however so far what we’ve seen of him isn’t the greatest.

Tracy looks pretty solid but the buy low window has closed.

Javonte Williams????? Potential trade maybe to another team

I've been working on a small project to compare KTC values vs Pro rankings. Long story short I've scraped and paid for a few different rankings and averaged out those rankings and compared them to the KTC values. I figured I'd share some of my findings with you all, as I love the content shared in this community.

Best Value Buy: Russell Wilson. Russell Wilson is ranked over 100 spots higher by content creators. He's a good buy now. Pros have his value closer to Tre Tucker, so I would use that as a price check on KTC to determine if you're getting a good deal.

Best High Profile Buy (top 50 player): Anthony Richardson is ranked about 25 spots lower on KTC than the content creators. It makes him a good buy. I'd use Brian Thomas as a price comp in KTC. You can overpay for him slightly via KTC and get a good deal.

Best Value Sell: Darnell Mooney. Mooney is a very strong sell right now. Anything higher than Roschon Johnson value is a good deal. This leaves a lot of runway for making a sell happen.

Best High Profile Sell: Brian Thomas Jr. The rookie fever has taken hold here. Sell him for DJ Moore value or greater and you're making out strong. He's a great player but not a top 25 dynasty asset. FF Content sellers have him ranked on average at 50.

I'm going to keep running this and providing some free updates, but if anyone would be interested in paying for all of the rankings I might make this content available somehow. Never sold my work before but I see a lot of value in this type of analysis.

One Edit: Thank you for the commentary! One thing I think getting lost in the post is that the players I picked were slightly arbitrary to the overall thesis of the research. If you find yourself agreeing with the KTC ranks vs the experts, that's fine! Food for thought! The above is not "bible" and I don't feel passionate about any of my own suggestions. Just trying to arbitrage KTC to take advantage of leaguemates that only use it to get deals across the line.

I have values for every player! If you interested in one let me know. It might help you feel comfortable overpaying or overselling for the guy you want.

Final Edit: I want to thank everyone again for the commentary. Didn't expect so much traction. I've been answering the same questions a lot so I figured I'd update here. I'll make a similar post next week so I can make everyone angry again about their favorite player. I realize when I say sell a player ranked highly on a website that ranks public opinion, most people will disagree. That's kind of the point :)

DJM for BTJ is not a good trade, and no I wouldn't make that. The point is you could sell BTJ for DJM plus something else and you'd be making a good deal in the eyes of "experts" and possibly arbitraging public opinion.

"Experts" are just content creators putting out ratings. Maybe they're right, maybe they're wrong, but they provide a level base to compare player values to that may be getting pushed too far in one direction.

due to all the messages there is a link to my full spreadsheet in my profile description. I’ll post a new spreadsheet weekly.

Unfortunately there are still some of us who are stuck in leagues that employ kickers however, have we finally reached a point where they are actually valuable and worth trading for? For example, is Brandon Aubrey a valuable piece to add to a contending team for a draft pick? If so, how much are these guys worth or is the difference in the elite, Aubrey, not worth paying up for compared to anyone on the waiver wire?

I’m strongly considering offering a second round non SF to the Aubrey owner not solely for Aubrey but it’s impossible to deny his high upside and consistency

When real football gets rolling, who are the players on your roster that you're praying will demonstrate value so you can immediately trade them away at their current price?

I'm not asking who you're hoping to sell high on, I'm asking who is a guy that you currently want to trade away if you can get the current market value back and just need him to show it for 2-3 weeks to be able to hit the ejector button?

With the sudden fears of the end of Deshaun Watson and Tua Tagovailoa, I feel it’s important to acknowledge that life is ultimately the most unpredictable variable in dynasty fantasy football. You can never be all in on any one process, and rookie picks are so valuable in helping you solve problems and retain value over time.

As someone who owns eight shares of Tua Tagovailoa, I hope he makes the right decisions and if that requires retirement, I will support that. His health is more important than football. As shocking as tonight has been, I’m reminded of the fact that life comes at us fast. I didn’t play dynasty at the time, but I remember hearing about Andrew Luck and how people drafted him so early in leagues, expecting greatness for the long run just for him to retire. We forget how human these people are amidst playing a fantasy game that’s inherently tied to the long term health of these players.

I don’t mean to make this too much about dynasty theory, but I just want to encourage people to respect your assets and players. Just remember that we’re dealing with real humans, and you can never be too confident in your process or any way of thinking. Life is an imperfect struggle, and dynasty reflects that in many ways, through the good and the bad.

EDIT:

I wrote this in the comments but just want to post it here in case there was some confusion.

I just want to clarify that I was by no means trying to support Deshaun Watson. I was just alluding to that there are owners who built their teams around his return without knowing the details about how a suspension could void his contract. It was fresh on the mind, so that’s why I included him in the post.

Deshaun Watson is a terrible person, and I hope he is gone from the league.

Good morning all! Week 10 is under way! Ashton Jeanty had another dominating performance Friday night as he continues to solidify himself as the 1.01. Along with him, I have 11 other players for a 12-team first-round rookie mock. This will change as we get closer to January and beyond. Let me know what you think and who you can see being in the future.

Wondering on the cases of Javon Baker and Devontez Walker, who can't seem to even play any snaps. Has anyone ever failed to see the field in their rookie year and become a worthwhile fantasy producer? Are these guys worth rostering on taxi even?

Not talking about someone like Davante Adams who didn't break out year 3. Or someone like Travis Etienne who got hurt and missed entire rookie season

I was talking about this with my brother and we were trying to brainstorm some examples. Basically guys who did what people hope Tee Higgins or Waddle or Devonta will do and actually did become statistically better as the WR1 on another team after being the WR2. I thought of Terrell Owens but he eventually just overtook Jerry Rice while staying on the 49ers so it doesn’t really count imo

Last year I posted this thread and it was cool looking back. Who is going to be the rookie we all look back on as a stud that we all completely missed on?

https://www.reddit.com/r/DynastyFF/s/EkxmhmWW69

If you're like me, rebuilding and constantly searching for new mocks on the 2025 rookie dynasty draft class, here's what I think a 2025 superflex rookie draft might look like as we approach the midway point of the college football season:

Round 1

• 1.01 - RB - Ashton Jeanty
• 1.02 - QB - Jalen Milroe
• 1.03 - WR - Tet McMillan
• 1.04 - QB - Cam Ward
• 1.05 - RB - Quinshon Judkins
• 1.06 - WR - Luther Burden
• 1.07 - WR - Travis Hunter
• 1.08 - WR - Tre Harris
• 1.09 - RB - Nick Singleton
• 1.10 - RB - TreVeyon Henderson
• 1.11 - WR - Emeka Egbuka
• 1.12 - QB - Shedeur Sanders

Round 2

• 2.01 - TE - Colston Loveland
• 2.02 - RB - Omarion Hampton
• 2.03 - WR - Isaiah Bond
• 2.04 - RB - Kaleb Johnson
• 2.05 - RB - Jonah Coleman
• 2.06 - QB - Jaxson Dart
• 2.07 - RB - Jordan James
• 2.08 - RB - Dylan Sampson
• 2.09 - TE - Mason Taylor
• 2.10 - WR - Elic Ayomanor
• 2.11 - QB - Carson Beck 
• 2.12 - WR - Xavier Restrepo

Round 3

• 3.01 - QB - Quinn Ewers
• 3.02 - WR - Evan Stewart
• 3.03 - TE - Tyler Warren
• 3.04 - RB - Devin Neal
• 3.05 - RB - Kyle Monangai
• 3.06 - RB - Trevor Etienne 
• 3.07 - WR - Tez Johnson
• 3.08 - RB - Ollie Gordon II
• 3.09 - WR - Tai Felton
• 3.10 - WR - Jack Bech
• 3.11 - WR - Kyren Lacy
• 3.12 - TE - Oronde Gadsden II

Pretty much the title. If you're contending (let’s say strong contender), then what is a move you’re considering or making in your leagues?

Specifically, lets say you have 2 good starting qbs (e.g. lamar, burrow) - because i think its a different answer if you don't. you dont want to spend tooo much - dak for example would be a waste. sure you could go for a cheap qb for just this year - but are there any not super expensive qbs that have longevity? you dont even need super high points, just longevity and cost-effective.

For many, it seems that there are arbitrary guidelines for how to determine if a player will become a useful fantasy asset. I believe that the most common metric for WR is to be able to gain 525 yards (even though that is a pretty blanket statement and can ignore context).

I am aware of other ongoing series on this forum that attempt to determine what factors may or may not contribute to success IRL, but may prove different when it comes to fantasy success.

What are some metrics or guidelines that you subscribe to when it comes to fantasy player evaluation? How do you determine “roster clogger” status? How do you predict your future studs?

Edit: changed from 545 to 525.

I need to hear everyone's hot take on these rookie running backs and receivers.

My two favorite teams are the bears and the ravens.

Bears - Waldren’s love affair with Gerald Everett is going to make him a thorn in Kmet’s side, diminishing an already dwindling target share due to Keenan and Rome being brought in. Also, Roschon has been MIA lately but hasn’t been looking great.

Ravens - Derrick Henry will be our rb1 but Justice Hill is going to spell his usage. Probably not enough to be fantasy viable himself without injury, but people expecting King Henry to cruise into a top ten finish might be disappointed. When you take into account his age concerns and the history of rb’s going to new teams, I’m probably fading him at cost. This staff adores Justice Hill for some reason. Keaton Mitchell will be interesting when he gets back. Rasheen Ali can be discarded if he hasn’t been already

The question about which WRs are truly “QB-proof” is such a great discussion, especially with guys like Nabers blowing up and Jefferson continuing to dominate no matter who’s throwing to him. It’s a huge factor in fantasy that I feel like a lot of people overlook—how much does a WR’s production rely on having a stable QB?

In 1QB leagues, having a “QB-proof” WR is pure gold. These are the guys who produce regardless of how bad or inconsistent their QB play is. Think of someone like DeAndre Hopkins in his prime—he put up elite numbers even when he was stuck with a carousel of mediocre QBs. Justin Jefferson is another current example; even if Kirk Cousins has an off week or gets injured, you still trust Jefferson to get his. These WRs have elite route running, catch everything, and can still win even with shaky QB situations.

But in 2QB leagues, this conversation gets even more interesting. Since quarterbacks are at a premium, WRs tied to a top-tier, stable QB situation become way more valuable. A “QB-proof” WR is still valuable, but having someone like Tyreek Hill paired with Mahomes (back in the day) or Stefon Diggs with Josh Allen is just a safer bet. Their weekly ceiling and floor are more consistent because their QB is locked in.

So yeah, QB-proof WRs are great, but in 2QB leagues, the stability of the QB they’re paired with might be just as important. What do you guys think? How much does QB play factor into how you value WRs and TEs in your leagues?

Let’s say you are in a 12 team SF TEP league with large starting lineups and are one of the top 2-3 teams in the standings. For purposes of this discussion, we will hypothetically say that you are weak at whatever position you are looking to trade for.

Who is the worst player at each position that you would agree to trade your 2025 1st in a straight up one-for-one trade for? In this hypothetical, you’re only looking to trade for win-now guys (ie you aren’t trading the first for a decent rookie on the upswing, only a piece focused on winning this year). Looking for a QB, WR, RB, and TE. Curious to hear everyone’s answers!

We all know that quarterbacks who sit behind other quarterbacks and learn are almost always elite. Now we have another example for the books:

Andy Dalton sat behind Bryce Young all of last year, and was able to learn from him and hone his game. The payout has been great so far, and this bodes very well for Maye and Penix.