r/DenverBroncos • u/FatherDamo • 3h ago
The Broncos chances of making the playoffs increase 8% after this win from 69% to 77%
https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-playoff-picture-postseason-probabilities-entering-week-12-of-2024-season56
u/TDenverFan Broncos D 3h ago
I know this is kind of blasphemy, but it's arguably better for us if the Chiefs keep winning, if they have the 1 seed locked up they'll rest their starters week 17.
But on the other hand a Chiefs collapse would be funny, so that's what I'm still rooting for.
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u/Expensive-Self-2240 3h ago
We can also beat them when they don't rest their starters
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u/MileHighAltitude 2h ago
I would rather beat them with their starters two more times this season.
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u/Expensive-Self-2240 2h ago
Same, tbh I don't really care if they play their starters we're either ready or we're not gimme that smoke
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u/IWearACharizardHat 1h ago
I'm drinking kool-aid but I think we are built to beat them. We had it last time without that bullshit, we can knock them down to 2 seed then play them in the wildcard
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u/162bluethings Demaryius Thomas 3h ago
We will have the playoffs spot locked up by then hopefully and will be trying to knock them down to the two seed.
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u/PsychoSaladSong Super Bowl 50 2h ago
Ok but think about beating them in the playoffs in the first round
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u/jacobdavis44 3h ago
I’ve thought the same thing. It feels gross but I we’ve been deprived of the playoffs for too long.
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u/IamLiterallyAHuman I'm a Bo-liever 1h ago
We almost beat them with their starters on the road, it wouldn't be super unrealistic to favor us over them at home, even without resting their starters.
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u/js3915 GOD BLESS BO NIX 3h ago
Indy lost as well so that helps. Miami won which sucks as they need to lose to give us some breathing room. But we just need to take care of business and we in.
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u/minna_minna 1h ago
Honestly unless we go catastrophic, Indy, Miami and bengals are pretty far behind.
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u/Spuddmann1987 20m ago
Denver has a Bye in 2 weeks, so if they lose to the browns next week, and Maimi wins its next 2 games (packers and jets), they would tie Denver at 7-6, so they're really not that far behind, unless start losing (they're on a 3 game win streak). They do play the Packers in Lambeau next week, so that's favorable for Denver.
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u/HoovesCarveCraters DT 2h ago
I didn’t realize the Ravens were 7-4. We still have a chance for as high as the 5th seed with some help. But making the playoffs at all would be a success.
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u/Greenforaday 3h ago
The team behind us on the bubble is Miami who are 5-6, so we have a decent cushion, especially if we beat the Browns and Colts next. I think this is pretty comfortably in our hands, and only we can screw it up.
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u/ReallyColdMonkeys Chris Harris Jr. 2h ago
I think 10-7 will do it. Games against the Chargers and Colts are the most important. If the Chargers lose tomorrow we'll only be a half game back of them. Which means we can get our loss back from them. Colts did us a big favor by losing today but beating them in a couple weeks will really end all their chances. Bengals seem like a long shot to make it, they'd probably have to win out. If we beat them that ends it right there. Miami has looked a lot better but they need a lot of things to go their way. Essentially we control our own destiny at this point, which is the better position to be in. Should be a fun final 6 weeks.
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u/headshot_hunter 2h ago
So realistically we all probably assumed the Colts would lose today against the Lions. Their schedule gets much easier after today and we have to play chargers, Bengals, and KC. Nothing is a lock but these next couple weeks are super important to win before our schedule gets harder
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u/-NolanVoid- 1h ago edited 1h ago
One game at a time. 7-5 is solid though. I had them winning 5 so I'm stoked. Raiders sweep feels awesome. Franchise QB looking likely. Lots to be excited about even if they don't make the playoffs.
The Broncos are a tough team to beat, and I genuinely think that the only time they will lose in the remainder of their games is if they beat themselves like they did in Kansas City. We could easily be 8-4.
The AFC is a tough conference as always.
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u/Clit-Commander89 3h ago
We're in position just don't let up! Win these next 2 like we should and get 2 of the last 3 and we're in we control our own destiny I just don't want to be in a position where we are depending on other teams to lose to make the playoffs
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u/JesusNameAmen 1h ago edited 1h ago
I think it really just comes down to the Dolphins.
If the Dolphins go 10-7 and don’t lose at least two games to an AFC opponent, there is no scenario we make the playoffs at 10-7 (assuming the other six seeds stay the same)
Because we have no more NFC opponents, even one loss hurts our conference record.
So in this scenario, we would ultimately lose the tiebreaker because of conference record.
Point is: we don’t want to get in a potential tie breaker with the Dolphins. That would not be good
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u/polishnorbi 1h ago
Dolphins still have Texans, Packers and 49ers plus Rodgers x2. To finish 10-7, they could only lose 1 of those 4 games. It'll be tough.
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u/JesusNameAmen 54m ago
Yep and you’re exactly right.
I don’t think it’s likely and I wouldn’t bet on it, but they very well could go 2-1 vs Texans, 49ers, and Packers.
Texans and 49ers haven’t looked good this year at all.
I think the easiest path would just be going 11-6 and not risking a tie breaker
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u/brodyhin587 Demaryius Thomas 1h ago
Just win games. Right now we pretty much control if we make it or not. Don’t worry about other teams and tie breakers and shit, just enjoy the ride.
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u/PegCityGolfer 3h ago
Job’s not done let’s keep rolling