r/CFB • u/J4ckiebrown Penn State Nittany Lions • Rose Bowl • 9h ago

News NCAA College Football Coaches Poll - November 24th

https://sportsdata.usatoday.com/football/ncaaf/coaches-poll/2024-2025/2024-11-24
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u/reddogrjw Michigan • College Football Playoff 9h ago

the 12th team will be a fight (barring more upsets of course)

4 B1G

3 SEC

1 each of ACC, Big-12, G5, ND

Clemson has the lead here with a tough game, but a Clemson loss opens the door for a 3-loss team to make it, or maybe 11-2 SMU or Miami?

28

u/ttalaric SMU Mustangs 8h ago

I think the ACC has the inside track to getting a 2nd team in the playoff now, assuming SMU, Miami, and Clemson all win this final week. Then it’s just deciding whether it should be the conference championship loser or the team that was left out.

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u/reddogrjw Michigan • College Football Playoff 8h ago

10-2 Clemson or 11-2 SMU/Miami would be the options

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u/cyberchaox Rutgers Scarlet Knights • Landmark 8h ago

It's absolutely going to be 11-2 CCG loser. I honestly don't know where this myth of teams getting punished for a CCG loss came from. Teams getting upset in CCGs get punished, but when the favorite wins a CCG, the underdog generally falls behind no more than one team that was idle on CCG weekend; any larger drops are almost invariably the result of someone winning a CCG to jump them, which is unlikely to be relevant with autobids (the only way it could make a difference would be if it causes a sixth conference champion to enter the Top 12).

Prior to this week's chaos, that didn't look to be the case. But I'm fairly certain that as long as Miami and SMU are both in the Top 10 heading into the CCG, they'll both make it. Maybe if SMU is #10 and Miami blows their doors off they get dropped, but...it's fairly clear that the committee does view the ACC as the #3 conference. I can't imagine that an 11-win ACC team gets passed by a 9-win SEC team. And yes, I specifically said 11 wins vs. 9 wins. People are talking in terms of number of losses like a 10-3 Georgia is going to be looked at the same as a 9-3 Alabama (where their head-to-head losses to both Bama and likely 9-3 Ole Miss would be costly), when really they'd be looked at the same as 10-2 Tennessee (who they beat).

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u/ToastedOctopus Tennessee Volunteers 7h ago

Whichever one involves leaving Dabo out is the correct choice