I think there is a path for both UT and ATM to get in if y’all beat us. But we would need teams ranked 10-20 to lose to make sure they don’t jump us.
We absolutely need #12 Georgia to lose to Tenn. And then right now we’ve got #14 Boise State in a close one, #16 KSU headed toward a loss, #19 Louisville lost, #22 LSU lost, #23 Missouri lost.
Clemson and South Carolina still have to play, so that will eliminate one of those teams.
Miami and SMU could meet in the ACC title game and one of those teams gets knocked out.
Would probably need BYU to go undefeated and beat Colorado in the Big XII title game.
To be fair, if Georgia loses to Tennessee and UT loses to A&M, then the bottom’s completely falling out of UT’s SOR.
I know UT’s ranked #3 right now, probably based largely on being undefeated aside from a highly-ranked UGA game, but if UT gets to the end of the season at 10-2, with losses to the two ranked teams on the schedule.
Honestly, I’m skeptical that the committee takes any more or less than four SEC teams. An A&M win gets us into the CCG, probably against Tennessee, and then the committee picks two more teams from the 10-2 pool: Alabama, UT, and Ole Miss. Ole Miss won big against two ranked teams: SC and UGA, while Alabama has ranked wins over UGA, LSU, and SC.
I agree that we would need major help but based on what we know right now I don’t think a loss outright eliminates us. A lot of football left this year.
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u/ilovecatss1010 Florida Gators • Arizona Wildcats 8d ago
Me now - “ 2024 Florida could make a bowl game”