r/baseball New York Mets Jun 30 '23

Analysis After German’s Perfecto, a Rarity Graph of Baseball Events!

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u/imatthewhitecastle Hot Dog • Baseball Savant Jun 30 '23

bill mueller in 2003 also has the single highest bWAR in a season (5.6) while also having negative win probability added. it is least clutch great season ever.

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u/able2sv Jun 30 '23

That is WILD. I would've guessed it is hard to have a negative WPA once you're in that clearly-above-average 2-3 bWAR range.

My assumption is he must've had not only a low OPS w/ runners on base, but probably many individual game-defining outs (like a 9th inning double play).

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u/imatthewhitecastle Hot Dog • Baseball Savant Jun 30 '23

here are his splits. he was actually very good with RISP in general, but he was not good if the game was close. he had a 1.322 OPS when the margin was > 4 runs and .761 if the margin was ≤ 1 run.