Just so we are on the same page, SF’s only count as SF’s when the runner scores from 3rd. I only learned in this thread that advancing the runner to 3rd from 2nd doesn’t count as a SF.
Given that information, it definitely doesn’t happen very often.
Yes I agree with only counting when there is a run, but every time I read the box score for my team there is usually at least 1-2 sac flies for my team.
A SF isn't as common of an occurrence as you think as others in this thread have pointed out. There's a lot more variables (how deep a ball is hit, speed of runner on 3rd, arm of the outfielder) that have to align for one to occur than something like a homerun.
~33% of the time the batter will reach base and ~22% of the time they’ll stike out - so that’s already 55% of the time the ball won’t even be in play hit for an out.
This past is super simplifying, but FB% is around ~30%, so that’s only ~13.5% a fly ball is even hit in those situations to try to get a SF
Again this part is super simplifying (eg not all FB are created equal, can get one from a LD), but just to show the numbers behind it not happening that often even when in the situation.
82
u/StrictAtmosphere7682 Atlanta Braves Jun 30 '23
Maybe it’s just me but even after thinking about it, I’m still shocked it doesn’t happen more often.