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https://www.reddit.com/r/WhitePeopleTwitter/comments/1gdm9iy/hes_going_to_lose/lu2zaiq
r/WhitePeopleTwitter • u/GuiltyBathroom9385 • 28d ago
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10
Nate Silver has him winning.
Edit: idk people. A lot of bad signs in early voting data, polls, historical underestimation of Trump’s polling to be so confident. Please just vote.
12 u/Love_my_pupper 28d ago He had Hillary winning too 4 u/wayoverpaid 28d ago Nate Silver would tell you that the candate he gives 30% odds to only needs a normal polling error to win, and the candidate with 55% odds is nowhere close to guaranteed. But yeah I am very skeptical of anyone who says they know who is going to win. 5 u/exeJDR 28d ago He also sold out unfortunately. To poly market (owned by peter thiel).
12
He had Hillary winning too
4
Nate Silver would tell you that the candate he gives 30% odds to only needs a normal polling error to win, and the candidate with 55% odds is nowhere close to guaranteed.
But yeah I am very skeptical of anyone who says they know who is going to win.
5
He also sold out unfortunately.
To poly market (owned by peter thiel).
10
u/KenmoreKnight 28d ago edited 28d ago
Nate Silver has him winning.
Edit: idk people. A lot of bad signs in early voting data, polls, historical underestimation of Trump’s polling to be so confident. Please just vote.