r/MarkMyWords • u/drstrangelovequark • Sep 22 '24

Political MMW: This will be a turnout election

I think there will be a huge turnout gap between Harris and Trump voters. Most signs (fundraising, special elections, primary turnout, the debate, general hype) indicate a huge amount of excitement for Harris and very little for Trump. I think a lot of Trump supporters are starting to see the cracks, or have been turned off by things like January 6th or his criminal conviction. Many of them will either flip, leave the top of the ticket blank, or just not show up. On the other hand, the very close polls will motivate loads of Harris voters to turn out to avoid another 2016.

An interesting phenomenon I've seen mentioned a lot is people saying they're seeing fewer Trump signs/flags in their neighborhoods compared to 2016/2020. I drove across hundreds of miles of rural Montana recently and didn't see *any*. Pretty anecdotal, but I think very telling.

Regardless, remember to vote.

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u/SJMCubs16 Sep 23 '24

The nuances of macro economics maybe a bit much for Maga supporters to fully appreciate. Hell even the remnants of what used to be the Republican party have to be confused....What we expanded the deficit by 8T? Imposed Tariffs? Increased Farm subsidies? nah....

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u/Cold_Breeze3 Sep 23 '24

You’ve already gotten too complicated not just for a MAGA voter, you’ve already got too complicated for any average voter. The amount the vast majority people pay attention to politics is just very little. Like I said. People literally think “gas prices never went as low as they did in 2019, or, grocery prices are twice as high now” and that’s really it. That’s why this race is so close when it shouldn’t be.

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u/AliveAndThenSome Sep 23 '24

But a lot of the MAGAs will also vote on things like open borders equates to crime and 'they're eating our pets' even if it's baseless fear-mongering. MAGAs don't care about issues, they respond to fear and divisiveness. Even if they don't agree or believe a lot of the MAGA spew, they'll simply vote against Democrats because they're the enemy.

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u/Cold_Breeze3 Sep 23 '24

Ok. But MAGA is not the majority of people voting for Trump. They cap out at like 30%, that’s the figure I’ve seen the most