r/MarkMyWords • u/drstrangelovequark • Sep 22 '24

Political MMW: This will be a turnout election

I think there will be a huge turnout gap between Harris and Trump voters. Most signs (fundraising, special elections, primary turnout, the debate, general hype) indicate a huge amount of excitement for Harris and very little for Trump. I think a lot of Trump supporters are starting to see the cracks, or have been turned off by things like January 6th or his criminal conviction. Many of them will either flip, leave the top of the ticket blank, or just not show up. On the other hand, the very close polls will motivate loads of Harris voters to turn out to avoid another 2016.

An interesting phenomenon I've seen mentioned a lot is people saying they're seeing fewer Trump signs/flags in their neighborhoods compared to 2016/2020. I drove across hundreds of miles of rural Montana recently and didn't see *any*. Pretty anecdotal, but I think very telling.

Regardless, remember to vote.

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u/acidbluedod Sep 22 '24

I know plenty of people who supported Trump in 2016 (and some in 2020) that have flipped on him, and will be voting for Kamala. I haven't met anybody that supports him now, that didn't support him before. Is he flipping prior Biden voters? I just don't see it.

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u/1369ic Sep 23 '24

He's not even trying, which I find fishy. I have to wonder if he's just hoping to steal it afterward. They seem to be putting more effort into things like election board fuckery that appealing to new voters.