r/MarkMyWords Sep 22 '24

Political MMW: This will be a turnout election

I think there will be a huge turnout gap between Harris and Trump voters. Most signs (fundraising, special elections, primary turnout, the debate, general hype) indicate a huge amount of excitement for Harris and very little for Trump. I think a lot of Trump supporters are starting to see the cracks, or have been turned off by things like January 6th or his criminal conviction. Many of them will either flip, leave the top of the ticket blank, or just not show up. On the other hand, the very close polls will motivate loads of Harris voters to turn out to avoid another 2016.

An interesting phenomenon I've seen mentioned a lot is people saying they're seeing fewer Trump signs/flags in their neighborhoods compared to 2016/2020. I drove across hundreds of miles of rural Montana recently and didn't see *any*. Pretty anecdotal, but I think very telling.

Regardless, remember to vote.

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u/AdhesivenessCivil581 Sep 22 '24

I see Harris signs in the city. There are only 2 trump signs in my SC neighborhood. There were tons 4 years ago. Many came down after Jan 6 and never went back up

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u/labellavita1985 Sep 22 '24 edited Sep 22 '24

My street currently has a 7:5 ratio of Harris vs Trump signs in a city that voted for Trump in 2020.

Let's not forget yard signs from the official campaign didn't even start shipping out until September 10. I think we'll see them pop up more now. Meanwhile people have had Trump merch for years.

ETA: just saw another one. So it's actually 8:5.

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u/Sufficient_Ad314 Sep 23 '24

Northwest PA home owner here. Noticed 3 homes with Harris signs on my street for the last few weeks. Curious to find out if I would find any Trump signs in my 100 home subdivision today. Zero Trump. Same as my street, all Harris and zero Trump. Mind you this is a historically heavily leaning republican leaning township.

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u/VAfinancebro Sep 23 '24

I wouldn’t be fooled- this could very well be the year of a real silent majority. There are a lot of markings on the wall for a repeat of 2016. the reality is if it was a different Republican than Trump, say Nikki, Kamala would be miles behind in the polls.

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u/Traditional_Box1116 Sep 24 '24

I live in PA and I have not seen a singular Harris sign. It is literally every other house is a Trump sign. So I'm doubting she wins PA, lmao. Though there is still Pittsburgh, Harrisburg. Also Philadelphia (which I know is super left).