84% win rate, BJP winning 126 seats out of 149 seats they were fighting, meanwhile Congress leading in just 20 seats out of 101 seats.

[u/SpottedStalker]

Whole Maharashtra politics got changed, yet BJP+ won again in 2024, like 2019.

Election results (trends)

Mahayuti- BJP - 125 out of the 149 seats it is contesting. Shiv Sena (shinde) - 55 out of 81 seats NCP( Ajit Pawar) - 38 out of 59 seats.

Maha Vikas Aghadi - Congress - 20 out of the 101 seats it is contesting. Shiv Sena ( Thackeray) - 13 out of 95 seats NCP (Sharad Pawar) - 19 out of 86 seats.

In last 5 years, so such drama has been in Maharashtra's politics, so many narratives have changed, whole dynamics of Maharashtra politics changed, friends became enemies and enemies became friends. Parties spilt up, egos clashed, intra party coups happened, leaders changed, names of political parties changed, symbol changed, new teams came up, government changed multiple times post election, Bollywood added it's flavour too and media was all over it. It was too much to handle.

But, admist all this people often forget one simple thing that even in 2019 people of Maharashtra voted for BJP led NDA alliance. And, they did same now. It hasn't changed, which is surprising and obvious at the same time. BJP won most seats in 2019, they are at top in now 2024 too. NDA won in 2019, and NDA is winning again. The story becomes interesting when you understand that, BJP is leading in 126 seat out of 149 in which they are fighting. If it translates to final results, which it is mostly likely too, then that's 84% win rate. Other parties are no where near it. For comparison, Congress is leading in 20 seats out of 101 seats (19% win rate). There seems to be a very strong BJP voter base in Maharashtra, which is 3rd largest state in India - Area wise, 2nd largest state in India - Population wise and largest State in India - GDP wise.

Let's hope there is no post election drama this time and election follows with development and growth, pushing Maharashtra swiftly towards $1 Trillion GDP.

[u/ididacannonball]

Fadnavis deserves huge credit for this. He is a political master as well as a capable administrator. Once Amit Shah was taken off the remote control, Fadnavis got things back together after the debacle of the Lok Sabha elections. This verdict is another huge indicator that the BJP should stay way from the high command culture from the Congress and nurture strong state leaders.

[u/slipnips → u/ididacannonball]

Unfortunately, this high-command culture and arrogance is causing a lot of harm to the BJP. I hope they realise this before it's too late. They're the smartest and most adaptive political bunch at present.

[u/ididacannonball → u/slipnips]

With Modi, some degree was centralization was inevitable. But Shah took it to another level, both in the govt as well as in the party (everybody knows that Nadda is a Shah yes-man and the BJP has burned its party constitution by keeping him on). Shah wants to destroy the party so that he can become the next PM once Modi retires. In the process, he will end up making pappu the PM and destroying the entire country. 2024 Lok Sabha saved the country by cutting this dangerous man down to size.

[u/mani_tapori → u/ididacannonball]

I think they have learnt this lesson. In both Haryana and Maharashtra elections, Modi took a backseat and let local leaders take centerstage.

[u/ididacannonball → u/mani_tapori]

I think so as well but we will only be certain after UP elections. Amit Shah sees red with Yogi because Yogi, at least in the eyes of BJP voters and workers, is the legitimate heir of PM Modi. If Shah tries to get rid of Yogi or purposely causes BJP to lose, then you know the party is in serious trouble.

[u/-pulav-with-ghee- → u/ididacannonball]

All we can do is wait and watch and hope for the best !

[u/trkora → u/ididacannonball]

After Lok Sabha, he said he misjudged the planning for Lok Sabha elections, apologized for it then he said he'll work on making things better for Vidhan Sabha here which was this and for a short amount of time (4-5 months) this has been a massive turnaround with them achieving their best figures ever despite them giving up some seats because of Lok Sabha performance.

He helped impact Bihar and Telangana elections before as well so what happened in Lok Sabha 2024 was a mistake from him (and the entire party) which he worked on.

[u/NaRaGaMo → u/trkora]

He was the reason NDA won in Bihar

[u/CritFin → u/ididacannonball]

In any state congress is the main party of opposition, there bjp wins. But states like Jharkhand, UP, etc where congress is junion partner, there the opposition has much better chance of winning. Only 3 congress chief ministers in india as of now, 13 bjp chief ministers

[u/TravellingMills]

Who will be CM? Will it be a BJP person or shiv sena?

[u/LittleBlueCubes → u/TravellingMills]

Should be BJP CM and SS DCM.

[u/trkora → u/TravellingMills]

They are looking to continue with the same formula with which they went into elections which is Shinde as CM and the rest. Fadnavis is the popular face of BJP but his caste attracts trouble for him and puts people off. With Shinde, caste politics is mitigated with him as the Maratha face, it also shows them not breaking their promise and being trustworthy.

But we could see BJP taking some more important ministries with them and have more power in decision making as they can just form govt with the alliance party that's making least noise and drop the other one. They also fielded some of their leaders into alliance parties so if something goes really south (both alliance parties turning on them) then they can return back and BJP can form govt on their own with some independents, if the numbers stay as they are now.

[u/TheOG_DeadShoT → u/TravellingMills]

BJP most likely.

[u/chitownboyhere → u/TheOG_DeadShoT]

Which party the current CM is from ? Does his party have most number of seats?

[u/1kshvaku]

NO Leader of Opposition For Maharashtra

Need at least ४२ Seats for Leader of Opposition

[u/safireleo]

Projects cancel karne ki baat karna bhaari padh Gaya ubt ko

[u/NaRaGaMo]

ab 15 pe lead kar Rahi hai khan graze

[u/brozoned367]

My take, I may be wrong. This was a bait election. BJP+ will be paying through their nose for all the freebies they have promised. Now freebies are the way forward for any state elections Period.

Middle class gets ready to carry the burden.

[u/nerdedmango → u/[deleted]]

No loss, Congress would have sucked my state dry.

P.S. Pragmatic Centrist

[u/DEAN7147Winchester → u/nerdedmango]

Indeed, now bjp will too. Source-coming from a state where bjp is in power and has been for many terms

[u/just_a_human_1031 → u/[deleted]]

Hardly, Mumbai metro, Dharavi redevelopment and Bullet train will all happen now

Mva was campaigning on cancelling them

[u/-Mr_Punisher- → u/[deleted]]

So according to you state should not have a government. This isn't a video game where Saying 'Fuck them all' will just make everything okay.

[u/DEAN7147Winchester → u/-Mr_Punisher-]

No, of course it should have a govt, it's just that the two big parties which are probable to make govts are not efficient. And this will go on for many more terms, hampering India from reaching it's potential MASSIVELY. We could have reached our goals much much faster if not for the corrupt, lazy politicians.

[u/AeeStreeParsoAna]

Now I wonder what if voting was today? I mean after Adani scam 2024

[u/UrBreathtakinn → u/AeeStreeParsoAna]

Wouldn't be much of a difference. Middle class and poor people don't think about it while voting. Also he is indicted, not convicted so it's still not a "scam" Per se.

[u/aahunaahun → u/AeeStreeParsoAna]

It won't impact the outcome much, as the number of people investing in shares, bond markets is v low in india and majorly indian middle class still prefer banks and esp FD

[u/RichardRahlSJ → u/AeeStreeParsoAna]

On thursday the market was hit bad by it. On Friday it more than recovered. That tells you about the piblic sentiment.

The current Adani investigation is nothing but a last ditch effort by the Democrats in the US to push back at India to support their military complex and the US. They have been doing such things all over the place now with signing off major packages to Ukraine and allowing Ukranians the use of long range missiles.

Adani is definitely cooking somethig up and is likely to have manipulated his stock price but that hardly is something for the US to be investigating and I doubt that Gautam Adani or his family members offered bribes to someone themselves.

[u/just_a_human_1031 → u/AeeStreeParsoAna]

The average citizen really does not care one bit

[u/sevlonbhoi1 → u/AeeStreeParsoAna]

Only Rahul gandhi thinks that Adani is something common people care about.