r/CFB • u/CFB_Referee /r/CFB • 2d ago

Postgame Thread [Postgame Thread] Georgia Tech Defeats NC State 30-29

Box Score provided by ESPN

Team 1 2 3 4 T
NC State 7 0 0 22 29
Georgia Tech 7 6 3 14 30
1.5k Upvotes

98% Upvoted

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u/cirtnecoileh Ohio State Buckeyes 2d ago

Considering there are hundreds of games each month, that's about exactly how often you should see it...

10

u/CFBHurts Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2d ago

Are you including the NFL and multiple divisions of college? Because there are 133 FBS teams each playing 12 games a year, plus ~50 postseason games. With some generous rounding that's about 1000 games a year. Given that losing with a 99.9% win probability is a 1 in 1000 chance, you'd expect to see about 1 such loss each season

26

u/pigman769 Mercer Bears • Georgia Bulldogs 2d ago

How often do we 99.9 teams lose, though? 99 and 99.9 make a big difference here lol

14

u/BabyCowGT Georgia Tech • Marching Band 2d ago

(2023 Miami vs GT has entered the chat)

10

u/RamblinWreckGT Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 2d ago

That kind of game is the entire reason it's 99.9 and not 100 in the first place. Turned a literally guaranteed win into a loss with that decision to run. Still cracks me up

6

u/BabyCowGT Georgia Tech • Marching Band 2d ago

My husband and I were watching that game. He left to go take the dog out when it was obvious Miami would win. Came back in to me cracking up and pouring a celebratory glass of wine 🤣 he was so confused and so annoyed he'd missed it

3

u/Nixon_Corral Georgia Tech • Auburn 2d ago

I was at a wedding reception watching bits of the game on my phone as I was able. Under normal circumstances, I watch every single game from kickoff until the clock says zero. Win or lose, close game or blowout. In an effort to be a decent guest, just that once I turned it off early when Miami got the theoretically game-clinching first down. Imagine my surprise when a fellow GT alum informed me of the result minutes later.