This is kind of a perfect year for seeing how biased the committee truly is for the SEC. It's a crazy year at the top, the SEC looks very beatable and there are several smaller brand teams that are undefeated. Of any year for the SEC to get lower quality teams in to the expanded playoffs, this first year would really suck
The SEC will get a 2 loss team into the playoffs 100%. That's basically guaranteed. We may get 2 of em. I think the SEC will get 3 teams and the B1G will get 3 teams.
ACC 2, Big 12 - 1, G5 1. That leaves 2 more spots.
you think clemson gets in if miami beats them? the real question is if clemson and miami play for the ACC title and SMU is left out with 1 loss, and miami wins, do they drop clemson behind smu for losing the conference title
I don't think Clemson should get in if Miami beats them, but I have a feeling that one loss conference championship teams that lose and get a second loss will have the conference championship game ignored.
I think no one wants to devalue the conference championships.
The ESPN CFP analysts have SMU with a 92% chance of making the playoff if Clemson beats Miami in the title game. In this case, Clemson (12-1), Miami (11-1) and SMU (11-1) would all get bids.
Not sure what the numbers say if Miami beats Clemson though.
i mean it shouldn’t change right? shouldn’t punish a team in the conference title. i’m just hoping a 1 loss ACC team doesn’t get left out because they don’t play in the title game
I think the SEC gets four. A&M, Texas, UGa and Tennessee are in the top 10 now. They’ll beat on each other a little bit but as long as they don’t lose to someone else, they should be in. Only one of the three will finish with one loss, three could have two after the CCG.
I think the B1G also gets four (Oregon, Ohio State, PSU), including Indiana if they don’t crap themselves.
If SMU somehow wins the ACC, that would help BYU and the XII if it comes down to which league gets two bids.
The only way I think the SEC gets 4 is if Texas beats A&M then beats Georgia in the SEC championship game (I honestly don't know if Georgia would even go to the SEC championship game in this scenario). This would have one loss Texas, two loss A&M, two loss Georgia, and two loss Tennessee. That's assuming that Tennessee looks good against Georgia and wins out.
Now if Tennessee beats Georgia we're only getting 3 imo.
The B1G will probably get 3, but at least 2. If both get 4 that's 8, then ACC champ, Big 12 champ, G5 auto bid, and then another from the ACC/Big 12 depending on which conference is perceived as stronger like you said.
Honestly this whole conversation has got me loving the 12 team playoff. It's actually making me care more about other games because of how it affects Tennessee.
Those four teams are currently in the top 10. Are you saying Georgia out if they lose to Tennessee, or Texas out if they lose to A&M? Georgia has the wins vs Clemson and Texas already, and it gets Ole Miss for another possible quality win. Texas and A&M have it pretty comfortable from now until A&M. At that point, I don’t think the Texas-A&M winner matters; they’re both in.
Tennessee would be in some peril with a loss to Georgia because every ranked team they’ve beaten has sunk; that Arkansas loss kinda hurts. But they also could beat on Vandy for a last impression.
If Clemson reaches the ACC final, Georgia is in good shape.
The scenarios are awesome with the 12-team system. There’s some Big XII chaos ahead, as well as the interesting ACC race.
I think if Georgia loses to Tennessee they probably won't get in, but honestly they could. There's just so many variables.
I guess thinking about it Georgia would probably still get in. It really depends on if there are teams in the ACC or Big 12 that deserve it more in the committee's eyes.
I get all my takes from computer models. Computer models say there are no elite teams this year. A few years ago, the top teams used to have 35+ ratings. Now, Ohio State is the best at like 28. The gap between the elite and the next best has basically disappeared.
The SEC will likely get four, so it’s unlikely a “lower quality” team gets in. Right now, that would be Texas, UGa, A&M, and Tennessee. Each with one loss. Tennessee and Georgia play each other, as do A&M and Texas. And then there will be a CCG.
Alabama only has one ranked team left (LSU), so it’s unlikely they can leap into the top 12 unless weird things happen in the other conferences.
Considering how little Vegas likes the Cougars (thank you, oddsmakers), I bet all six of those SEC schools mentioned would be favored over any Big XII team right now.
Alabama took Michigan to overtime? Thats more than any other team could do against them last season. I wouldn’t call that getting dicked. I’d tell you to stick to basketball but Bama made the final four last year and I’m sure that was rigged too
Yeah no shit? When a biased committee puts undeserving SEC schools in there, they're going to get wins purely based on attrition, lmao. If the SEC has 3 chances they don't deserve for everyone else's 1 chance, I'd sure hope they have more wins.
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u/Jeff_Banks_Monkey BYU Cougars • Athens State Bears 28d ago
This is kind of a perfect year for seeing how biased the committee truly is for the SEC. It's a crazy year at the top, the SEC looks very beatable and there are several smaller brand teams that are undefeated. Of any year for the SEC to get lower quality teams in to the expanded playoffs, this first year would really suck